Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
Markets
Kash Patel
- Yes21%
- No79%
Volume $7.4K · Liquidity $3K
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
- Yes42%
- No58%
Volume $7.2K · Liquidity $3.1K
Pete Hegseth
- Yes43%
- No57%
Volume $6.2K · Liquidity $2.2K
Resolution rules
If the individual holding the title of Secretary of Health and Human Services at the time of Issuance is the first within the HHS Secretary, the Secretary of Defense, and the FBI Director to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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