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What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?

Markets

  • Not nine justices

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $9.4K · Liquidity $3.4K

  • 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals

    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume $8.4K · Liquidity $3.7K

  • 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $5.4K · Liquidity $3.1K

  • 8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • 9 Conservatives and 0 Liberals

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $1.8K

Resolution rules

If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 6 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 3 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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