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Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?

Markets

  • Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition?

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $324.5K · Liquidity $106K

Resolution rules

If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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