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Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?

Markets

  • Gadi Eisenkot

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $3.5K

  • Benjamin Netanyahu

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $425.6 · Liquidity $411.6

  • Naftali Bennett

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $83.2 · Liquidity $83.2

  • Amir Ohana

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Avigdor Lieberman

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Yair Golan

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Yair Lapid

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the President of Israel gives Amir Ohana the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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