Skip to content
TheKalshiAcademy
EN

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)

Markets

  • At least 8

    Closed
    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $12.9K · Liquidity $11.2K

  • At least 10

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • At least 20

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $542

  • At least 25

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $801

  • At least 12

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $975.4 · Liquidity $390

  • At least 9

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $567.2 · Liquidity $367.2

  • At least 16

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $331.5 · Liquidity $161.5

  • At least 5

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $298.2 · Liquidity $298.2

  • At least 14

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 5 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets