Alaska Senate margin of victory
Markets
Dan Sullivan, 2+ pts
- Yes18%
- No82%
Volume $200 · Liquidity $200
Dan Sullivan, 8+ pts
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $162 · Liquidity $54
Dan Sullivan, 4+ pts
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Dan Sullivan, 6+ pts
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Dan Sullivan, 10+ pts
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Alaska by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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