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South Dakota Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Rounds, 15+ pts

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Rounds, 23+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $917.1

  • Rounds, 17+ pts

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $748.8

  • Rounds, 31+ pts

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $792

  • Rounds, 25+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $544.7

  • Rounds, 21+ pts

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $849

  • Rounds, 9+ pts

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $933.5 · Liquidity $732

  • Rounds, 27+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $711.2 · Liquidity $106.2

  • Rounds, 19+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $546.8 · Liquidity $336.8

  • Rounds, 11+ pts

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $522.8 · Liquidity $490.8

  • Rounds, 13+ pts

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $268 · Liquidity $250

  • Rounds, 7+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $201.3 · Liquidity $200

  • Rounds, 5+ pts

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $1.2 · Liquidity $1.2

  • Rounds, 3+ pts

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $1.1 · Liquidity $1.1

  • Rounds, 29+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Rounds, 33+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Rounds, 35+ pts

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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