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New York Governor margin of victory

Markets

  • Hochul, 13+ pts

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $10.9K · Liquidity $7.4K

  • Hochul, 10+ pts

    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume $8.7K · Liquidity $6.7K

  • Hochul, 16+ pts

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $7.2K · Liquidity $4.7K

  • Hochul, 4+ pts

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $6.3K · Liquidity $6.3K

  • Hochul, 19+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $2.6K

  • Hochul, 7+ pts

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Hochul, 28+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Hochul, 22+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $592.4 · Liquidity $436.1

  • Hochul, 25+ pts

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $21.1 · Liquidity $21.1

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New York by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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