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Arkansas Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Cotton, 14+ pts

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $871.9

  • Cotton, 24+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $731.2

  • Cotton, 12+ pts

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $687.7

  • Cotton, 18+ pts

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $515.4

  • Cotton, 34+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $405

  • Cotton, 16+ pts

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $983.5 · Liquidity $298

  • Cotton, 10+ pts

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $975.4 · Liquidity $689.2

  • Cotton, 8+ pts

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $667.9 · Liquidity $455.5

  • Cotton, 22+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $292.1 · Liquidity $26.1

  • Cotton, 28+ pts

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $210 · Liquidity $210

  • Cotton, 30+ pts

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $163.9 · Liquidity $163.9

  • Cotton, 20+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $152.8 · Liquidity $127.8

  • Cotton, 4+ pts

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $143.6 · Liquidity $143.6

  • Cotton, 6+ pts

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $47.5 · Liquidity $47.5

  • Cotton, 26+ pts

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $47 · Liquidity $47

  • Cotton, 32+ pts

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $35 · Liquidity $32

  • Cotton, 2+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $21.7 · Liquidity $21.7

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.