Arizona's 1st District margin of victory
Markets
Feely, 7+ pts
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $14.4K · Liquidity $403
Feely, 1+ pts
- Yes25%
- No75%
Volume $14K · Liquidity $550.7
Feely, 4+ pts
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $9K · Liquidity $716
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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