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Texas's 23rd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Herrera, 5+ pts

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $6K · Liquidity $5K

  • Herrera, 17+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $5.8K · Liquidity $2.5K

  • Herrera, 8+ pts

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Herrera, 14+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $924.3

  • Herrera, 11+ pts

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Herrera, 2+ pts

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Herrera, 1+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.8K

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 23rd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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