Skip to content
TheKalshiAcademy
EN

Josh Shapiro margin of victory

Markets

  • Shapiro, 19+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $2.5K

  • Shapiro, 25+ pts

    • Yes48%
    • No52%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Shapiro, 28+ pts

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Shapiro, 13+ pts

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $860.3

  • Shapiro, 10+ pts

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $713.3 · Liquidity $606.5

  • Shapiro, 16+ pts

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $693.7 · Liquidity $520

  • Shapiro, 7+ pts

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $649.3 · Liquidity $332.8

  • Shapiro, 22+ pts

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $529.6 · Liquidity $511.7

  • Shapiro, 4+ pts

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Shapiro, 31+ pts

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Shapiro, 34+ pts

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pennsylvania by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets