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California's 7th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Doris Matsui, 12+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $250 · Liquidity $250

  • Doris Matsui, 20+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $250 · Liquidity $250

  • Doris Matsui, 4+ pts

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Doris Matsui, 16+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Doris Matsui, 1+ pts

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Doris Matsui, 8+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Doris Matsui wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 7th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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