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California's 25th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Ruiz, 15+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $400 · Liquidity $400

  • Ruiz, 18+ pts

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Ruiz, 24+ pts

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Ruiz, 21+ pts

    • Yes46%
    • No55%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Ruiz, 27+ pts

    • Yes20%
    • No81%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Ruiz, 30+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Ruiz, 33+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Ruiz, 9+ pts

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Ruiz, 12+ pts

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 25th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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