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Florida's 4th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Bean, 15+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $600 · Liquidity $600

  • Bean, 12+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $500 · Liquidity $500

  • Bean, 18+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $311 · Liquidity $91

  • Bean, 3+ pts

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $70 · Liquidity $60

  • Bean, 6+ pts

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $10 · Liquidity $5

  • Bean, 21+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $4 · Liquidity $3

  • Bean, 9+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No70%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 4th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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