Iowa's 1st District margin of victory
Markets
Meeks, 6+ pts
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $1.6K
Meeks, 3+ pts
- Yes23%
- No77%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $407
Meeks, 9+ pts
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $230
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 1st District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
North Carolina Senate margin of victory
Cooper, 1+ pts: 95%
24h vol $12K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio Governor margin of victory
Acton, 1+ pts: 77%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio Senate margin of victory
Brown, 2+ pts: 61%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio Governor margin of victory
Ramaswamy, 1+ pts: 18%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio Senate margin of victory
Husted, 2+ pts: 24%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas's 23rd District margin of victory
Herrera, 8+ pts: 69%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
South Carolina Senate margin of victory
No: 86%
24h vol $1K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Nebraska's 2nd District margin of victory
Powell, 1+ pts: 91%
24h vol $1K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
South Dakota Senate margin of victory
Rounds, 3+ pts: 88%
24h vol $1K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oklahoma Governor margin of victory
Mazzei, 1+ pts: 80%
24h vol $628.3 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York's 1st District margin of victory
LaLota, 1+ pts: 85%
24h vol $545.9 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Josh Shapiro margin of victory
Shapiro, 4+ pts: 99%
24h vol $534.9 · Ends Nov 3, 2027