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Illinois's 13th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Budzinski, 9+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $100

  • Budzinski, 18+ pts

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $250 · Liquidity $250

  • Budzinski, 24+ pts

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $90 · Liquidity $59

  • Budzinski, 30+ pts

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $90 · Liquidity $90

  • Budzinski, 21+ pts

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $59.3 · Liquidity $59.3

  • Budzinski, 12+ pts

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $55 · Liquidity $55

  • Budzinski, 15+ pts

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Budzinski, 27+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Budzinski, 33+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 13th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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