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Massachusetts's 9th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Keating, 32+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $931 · Liquidity $231

  • Keating, 26+ pts

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $306 · Liquidity $306

  • Keating, 17+ pts

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $250 · Liquidity $250

  • Keating, 14+ pts

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $60 · Liquidity $60

  • Keating, 20+ pts

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Keating, 23+ pts

    • Yes48%
    • No52%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Keating, 8+ pts

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Keating, 11+ pts

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Keating, 29+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 9th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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