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Maryland's 1st District margin of victory

Markets

  • Harris, 17+ pts

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $757

  • Harris, 23+ pts

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $379

  • Harris, 20+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Harris, 8+ pts

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $321.9

  • Harris, 5+ pts

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $291

  • Harris, 2+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $650

  • Harris, 11+ pts

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $206.4 · Liquidity $64.9

  • Harris, 14+ pts

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $61.1 · Liquidity $35.5

  • Harris, 26+ pts

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $22 · Liquidity $8

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 1st District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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