Michigan's 4th District margin of victory
Markets
McCann, 4+ pts
- Yes49%
- No51%
Volume $11.3K · Liquidity $2.1K
McCann, 1+ pts
- Yes70%
- No30%
Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $431.6
McCann, 7+ pts
- Yes32%
- No68%
Volume $3K · Liquidity $270
McCann, 10+ pts
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $29 · Liquidity $25
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 4th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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