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Minnesota's 6th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Emmer, 13+ pts

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $545.9 · Liquidity $545.9

  • Emmer, 4+ pts

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $423.8 · Liquidity $377

  • Emmer, 16+ pts

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $368 · Liquidity $368

  • Emmer, 7+ pts

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $354.5 · Liquidity $354.5

  • Emmer, 10+ pts

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $310 · Liquidity $305

  • Emmer, 28+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $13 · Liquidity $6

  • Emmer, 19+ pts

    • Yes28%
    • No73%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Emmer, 22+ pts

    • Yes17%
    • No84%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Emmer, 25+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 6th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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