Minnesota Senate margin of victory
Markets
Tafoya, 3+ pts
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volume $8 · Liquidity $8
Tafoya, 1+ pts
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Tafoya, 4+ pts
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Tafoya, 5+ pts
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Tafoya, 2+ pts
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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