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Maine Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Collins, 3+ pts

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $37.5K · Liquidity $15.2K

  • Collins, 5+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $25.2K · Liquidity $12.3K

  • Collins, 7+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $23.4K · Liquidity $14.3K

  • Collins, 1+ pts

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $21.1K · Liquidity $12.3K

  • Collins, 8+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $2.5K

  • Collins, 12+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $823.6 · Liquidity $792

  • Collins, 10+ pts

    • Yes2%
    • No99%

    Volume $233.5 · Liquidity $232.5

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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