Skip to content
TheKalshiAcademy
EN

Missouri's 4th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Republicans, 20+ pts

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $3.1K

  • Republicans, 29+ pts

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Republicans, 26+ pts

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Republicans, 23+ pts

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $846.6

  • Republicans, 14+ pts

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $736 · Liquidity $710

  • Republicans, 17+ pts

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $582 · Liquidity $175

  • Republicans, 11+ pts

    • Yes92%
    • No9%

    Volume $518.2 · Liquidity $494.2

  • Republicans, 8+ pts

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $65 · Liquidity $60

  • Republicans, 5+ pts

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $50.9 · Liquidity $38.9

  • Republicans, 32+ pts

    • Yes38%
    • No63%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Republicans, 35+ pts

    • Yes25%
    • No76%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Republicans, 38+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Republicans, 41+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Republicans, 44+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 4th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets