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Missouri's 6th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Republicans, 33+ pts

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Republicans, 27+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $625.2

  • Republicans, 21+ pts

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $640 · Liquidity $610

  • Republicans, 30+ pts

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $439.2 · Liquidity $370

  • Republicans, 18+ pts

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $415 · Liquidity $410

  • Republicans, 36+ pts

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $315 · Liquidity $315

  • Republicans, 15+ pts

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $229.7 · Liquidity $205.9

  • Republicans, 24+ pts

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $220 · Liquidity $220

  • Republicans, 12+ pts

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $210 · Liquidity $205

  • Republicans, 9+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Republicans, 39+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Republicans, 42+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 6th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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