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New Jersey's 9th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Pou, 8+ pts

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $358

  • Pou, 20+ pts

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $286 · Liquidity $246

  • Pou, 14+ pts

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $38.3 · Liquidity $38.3

  • Pou, 26+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • Pou, 2+ pts

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Pou, 5+ pts

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Pou, 11+ pts

    • Yes60%
    • No41%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Pou, 17+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No70%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Pou, 23+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 9th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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