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New Mexico's 3rd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Fernández, 15+ pts

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $810 · Liquidity $805

  • Fernández, 12+ pts

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $477.7 · Liquidity $338.9

  • Fernández, 6+ pts

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Fernández, 9+ pts

    • Yes82%
    • No19%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Fernández, 18+ pts

    • Yes55%
    • No46%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Fernández, 21+ pts

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Fernández, 24+ pts

    • Yes33%
    • No68%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Fernández, 27+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No79%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Fernández, 30+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Mexico's 3rd District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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