Skip to content
TheKalshiAcademy
EN

Nevada's 4th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Horsford, 13+ pts

    • Yes61%
    • No39%

    Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Horsford, 1+ pts

    • Yes92%
    • No9%

    Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Horsford, 19+ pts

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Horsford, 7+ pts

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $625 · Liquidity $465

  • Horsford, 16+ pts

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $242.4 · Liquidity $242.4

  • Horsford, 25+ pts

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $196 · Liquidity $48

  • Horsford, 4+ pts

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $181 · Liquidity $64

  • Horsford, 10+ pts

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $131 · Liquidity $71

  • Horsford, 22+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Nevada's 4th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets