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New York's 17th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Conley, 3+ pts

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $6.4K · Liquidity $3.5K

  • Conley, 6+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $983.8

  • Conley, 9+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $768.2 · Liquidity $661.1

  • Conley, 12+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $181 · Liquidity $40

  • Conley, 15+ pts

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $6.3 · Liquidity $5.3

  • Conley, 1+ pts

    • Yes51%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 17th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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