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New York's 24th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Tenney, 33+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $130

  • Tenney, 24+ pts

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $511 · Liquidity $511

  • Tenney, 15+ pts

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $205 · Liquidity $205

  • Tenney, 18+ pts

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Tenney, 9+ pts

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Tenney, 12+ pts

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Tenney, 21+ pts

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Tenney, 27+ pts

    • Yes17%
    • No84%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Tenney, 30+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 24th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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