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Ohio's 10th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Turner, 6+ pts

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $724.5 · Liquidity $462.1

  • Turner, 15+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $500 · Liquidity $500

  • Turner, 21+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $496 · Liquidity $87

  • Turner, 9+ pts

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $333.6 · Liquidity $283.6

  • Turner, 3+ pts

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $322.9 · Liquidity $299

  • Turner, 18+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Turner, 12+ pts

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $36 · Liquidity $22

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Ohio's 10th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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