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Oregon's 4th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Hoyle, 6+ pts

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $101

  • Hoyle, 30+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $692

  • Hoyle, 15+ pts

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $55 · Liquidity $55

  • Hoyle, 27+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $36 · Liquidity $18

  • Hoyle, 21+ pts

    • Yes41%
    • No60%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Hoyle, 24+ pts

    • Yes30%
    • No71%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Hoyle, 9+ pts

    • Yes81%
    • No20%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Hoyle, 12+ pts

    • Yes71%
    • No30%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Hoyle, 18+ pts

    • Yes51%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oregon's 4th District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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