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Oregon's 5th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Bynum, 12+ pts

    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Bynum, 9+ pts

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $230

  • Bynum, 6+ pts

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $444

  • Bynum, 18+ pts

    • Yes46%
    • No54%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Bynum, 15+ pts

    • Yes61%
    • No39%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $954

  • Bynum, 3+ pts

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $120

  • Bynum, 27+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $580 · Liquidity $8

  • Bynum, 24+ pts

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $10

  • Bynum, 21+ pts

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $10 · Liquidity $5

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oregon's 5th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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