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Oregon Governor margin of victory

Markets

  • Kotek, 8+ pts

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $8.9K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Kotek, 5+ pts

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $7.8K · Liquidity $837.6

  • Kotek, 11+ pts

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $2K

  • Kotek, 14+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Kotek, 2+ pts

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1K

  • Kotek, 17+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $391 · Liquidity $380

  • Kotek, 23+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $33.7 · Liquidity $33.7

  • Kotek, 26+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Kotek, 20+ pts

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Oregon by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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