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Pennsylvania's 10th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Stelson, 4+ pts

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $757 · Liquidity $355

  • Stelson, 10+ pts

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $688.2 · Liquidity $277.5

  • Stelson, 1+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $356 · Liquidity $294

  • Stelson, 7+ pts

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $237.3 · Liquidity $151

  • Stelson, 16+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $26 · Liquidity $26

  • Stelson, 13+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No77%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 10th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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