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Texas's 6th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Ellzey, 25+ pts

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $415 · Liquidity $415

  • Ellzey, 10+ pts

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $400 · Liquidity $400

  • Ellzey, 22+ pts

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $400 · Liquidity $400

  • Ellzey, 16+ pts

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $100

  • Ellzey, 7+ pts

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Ellzey, 13+ pts

    • Yes59%
    • No42%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Ellzey, 19+ pts

    • Yes32%
    • No69%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Ellzey, 28+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Ellzey, 31+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 6th District by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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