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Texas's 25th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Williams, 21+ pts

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $458.3 · Liquidity $458.3

  • Williams, 27+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $400 · Liquidity $5

  • Williams, 15+ pts

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $220 · Liquidity $220

  • Williams, 6+ pts

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Williams, 24+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Williams, 18+ pts

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $59.2 · Liquidity $59.2

  • Williams, 9+ pts

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Williams, 12+ pts

    • Yes75%
    • No26%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Williams, 30+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 25th District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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