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Texas's 31st District margin of victory

Markets

  • Carter, 26+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $310 · Liquidity $308

  • Carter, 8+ pts

    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Carter, 23+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Carter, 5+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $40 · Liquidity $40

  • Carter, 20+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $10

  • Carter, 29+ pts

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Carter, 2+ pts

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Carter, 11+ pts

    • Yes52%
    • No49%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Carter, 14+ pts

    • Yes37%
    • No64%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Carter, 17+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No77%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 31st District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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