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Texas Governor margin of victory

Markets

  • Abbott, 6+ pts

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $61.4K · Liquidity $40K

  • Abbott, 3+ pts

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $60.1K · Liquidity $38.6K

  • Abbott, 9+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $24.5K · Liquidity $14.3K

  • Abbott, 1+ pts

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $12K · Liquidity $8.6K

  • Abbott, 5+ pts

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $10.7K · Liquidity $8.4K

  • Abbott, 12+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $4.8K

  • Abbott, 15+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $679.7 · Liquidity $550

  • Abbott, 18+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $435.2 · Liquidity $325

  • Abbott, 21+ pts

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $384 · Liquidity $382

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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