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Wisconsin's 6th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Grothman, 5+ pts

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Grothman, 2+ pts

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $569.1

  • Grothman, 20+ pts

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $563 · Liquidity $563

  • Grothman, 14+ pts

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $337 · Liquidity $337

  • Grothman, 26+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $312 · Liquidity $312

  • Grothman, 23+ pts

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Grothman, 8+ pts

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $2.4 · Liquidity $2.4

  • Grothman, 17+ pts

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $2

  • Grothman, 11+ pts

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 6th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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