Will the US government lift Microsoft's PERM suspension?
Markets
Before Dec 1, 2026
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $104.4 · Liquidity $94.3
Before Jan 1, 2027
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $1 · Liquidity $1
Resolution rules
If the Department of Labor or the White House announces a decision to lift, in whole or in part, the October 8, 2026 suspension of Microsoft's permanent labor certification (PERM) processing, or to resume accepting or processing any of Microsoft's new or pending PERM applications before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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