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When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract?

Markets

  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Before Feb 15, 2027

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $7 · Liquidity $7

Resolution rules

If NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension after Issuance and before Feb 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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