How many government shutdowns in 2026?
Markets
2
- Yes68%
- No32%
Volume $33.5K · Liquidity $5.4K
3
- Yes32%
- No68%
Volume $23.2K · Liquidity $4.8K
4
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.7K
5
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $860.1 · Liquidity $573
Resolution rules
If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 2 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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