Skip to content

Will a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?

Markets

  • Before Sep 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $32.2K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $11.7K · Liquidity $1.8K

Resolution rules

If any New York Times reporter whose alleged offense arises from newsgathering, publication, source protection, or compliance with investigative demands concerning the Times’s July 2026 reporting on the security of the Qatari-donated aircraft used as Air Force One has been formally charged with any crime in federal court after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses