How many people will Trump pardon in 2026?
Markets
25 to 49
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $5.8K · Liquidity $3.4K
50 to 99
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $2.8K
100 to 499
- Yes52%
- No48%
Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $762.4
1000 or more
- Yes19%
- No81%
Volume $1K · Liquidity $791.5
500 to 999
- Yes21%
- No79%
Volume $1K · Liquidity $539
Resolution rules
If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 25 and 49 persons after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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