Skip to content

How many Senators will vote for the American Affordability and Jobs Act?

Markets

  • Above 56

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $625 · Liquidity $200

  • Above 68

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $25 · Liquidity $25

  • Above 60

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $10 · Liquidity $10

  • Above 64

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $10 · Liquidity $10

  • Above 80

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • Above 72

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 76

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 84

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 56, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses