Skip to content

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

Markets

  • USA

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $90.3K · Liquidity $13.7K

  • Uruguay

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $32.3K · Liquidity $4.9K

  • Argentina

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $32.2K · Liquidity $7.2K

  • Mexico

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $26.9K · Liquidity $3.6K

  • Peru

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $22.6K · Liquidity $9K

  • Ukraine

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $8.8K · Liquidity $3.5K

  • Israel

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Brazil

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Portugal

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • South Sudan

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Jordan

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $407.7 · Liquidity $234

  • Philippines

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $210.1 · Liquidity $159.7

Resolution rules

If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Peru before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses