When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
Markets
Before Sep 1, 2026
Closed- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $13.1K · Liquidity $9.7K
Before Jan 1, 2027
- Yes24%
- No76%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $1.5K
Before Oct 1, 2026
Closed- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $2.5K
Before Dec 1, 2026
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $1.9K
Before Nov 1, 2026
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.2K
Resolution rules
If a reconciliation bill passes the House before September 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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