Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?
Markets
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Cutberto Viramontes, Eddie Grant Jr., other individual plaintiffs in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins
- Yes84%
- No16%
Volume $5.9K · Liquidity $1.7K
Resolution rules
If the Supreme Court, in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins, rules the Second and Fourteenth Amendments guarantee a right to possess AR-15-platform and similar semiautomatic rifles, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration?
No: 60%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
No: 54%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
AfD in a German state government?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 95%
24h vol $40 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 32%
24h vol $24.9 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will China obtain an EUV machine?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 65%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Congressional salaries increase?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 46%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
No: 72%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will the federal minimum wage be raised?
Before 2030: 31%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
Before 2030: 32%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?
Yes: 58%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will the 48E commercial solar Investment Tax Credit be reinstated before December 31, 2029?
Yes: 76%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2029
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?
Adam Telle: 41%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 8, 2030