When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
Markets
Before Jan 1, 2027
- Yes19%
- No81%
Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $1.2K
Before Oct 1, 2026
Closed- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.9K
Before Nov 1, 2026
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.5K
Before Dec 1, 2026
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.5K
Before Sep 1, 2026
Closed- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $364 · Liquidity $350
Resolution rules
If a reconciliation bill has passed the Senate after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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